The bulk buying paradox
Costco sells 60 million rotisserie chickens per year at $4.99 each. They also sell toilet paper in 30-roll packs that would last a single person three months. The warehouse club model works because bulk pricing creates per-unit savings of 20-40%—but only if you actually use the full quantity before it expires.
The average Costco member spends $136 per trip across 26 annual visits, according to IBISWorld’s Warehouse Club Industry Report. That is $3,536 per year on bulk goods. When two households coordinate purchases—splitting quantities they would otherwise waste or skip entirely—the combined savings exceed $500 annually.
Andrew Geier, Paul Rozin, and Gheorghe Doros at the University of Pennsylvania published a study in Psychological Science (2006) demonstrating that people treat whatever quantity they receive as the “right” amount to consume—a phenomenon they called unit bias. Buy a 36-pack of croissants and you eat more croissants than you would have purchased in a standard 6-pack. The warehouse club exploits this psychology. Splitting with friends lets you capture the per-unit price benefit without the consumption distortion that equal access creates.
Source: Geier, Rozin & Doros, “Unit Bias: A New Heuristic That Helps Explain the Effect of Portion Size on Food Intake,” Psychological Science (2006).